GoingEast.Asia Web Survey

Open Web Asia is a new organization founded by Gang Lu, publisher of Mobinode. Today they are bringing together some of the leading western players in China, Asia, Europe and the US to talk about web trends in Asia, and especially the trend for US and European companies to come to Asia. The venue for this event is in Korea, and brings together experienced marketers from Europe who have successfully made the transition to marketing in China and Asia, such as Web2Asia, which is based in Shanghai.

As part of the event, Open Web Asia is putting together a web survey on what companies in the west are considering coming to Asia to start companies. The survey is about the challenges western companies face when coming to Asia, including cultural, economic, and other issues. The survey starts today (Oct. 14) and will be open for two weeks.

If you are interested in China, business, economics, the Internet and technology, then I highly recommend that you take this survey. All you need to do is click on the button below.

The results of the survey will be announced on November 14, when Robert Scoble, Shel Israel and others come to China as part of the China Web 2.0 tour which is put together by the China Business Network.

I’m sure that the results will be interesting, and I look forward to seeing them.

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Time For Chinese Money to Buy Silicon Valley Startups?

The very dramatic unwinding of Bear Stearns and the purchase of its shares at a fire sale price by JP Morgan Chase has raised some very interesting questions.

Put simply, American assets are going to have to go at fire sale prices. We’re not talking about the Japanese buying Rockefeller Center, I mean real valuable and sometimes tangible assets. Remember that? And they will be denominated in US dollars, which most American banks still take. So this means a bargain on America for buyers smart enough to move quickly and take advantage of America’s double troubles on the banking and currency levels.

The Japanese in the eighties thought that real estate prices could only go up. Sound familiar? They learned that that wasn’t true in the nineties; it’s called “The Lost Decade” in Japan. Then US mortgage lenders sold the same crock of shit to Americans in 2002-2006 while the US Fed and Treasury passively looked on. Maybe someone can explain to me why there should not be at least a “Lost Couple of Years” in the US. Anybody who is thinking about buying US real estate now before the market has hit rock bottom needs their head examined.

Tom Foremski’s Silicon Valley Watcher has a very interesting article about how the investment banking crisis will freeze Silicon Valley M&A deals. According to the article, the Bear Stearns debacle means that many of the recent startups will run out of financing, which is now done by US investment banks, and may even go belly up because they are unable to obtain funding.

This represents an excellent buying opportunity for cash-rich Chinese corporations, venture capital firms and private equity firms to buy companies which have good intellectual property and/or business/sales relationships at very good prices. It would also be a good release of all that capital floating around in China, and is mostly going into real estate and other junk investments in China which don’t offer good ROI, especially with rising inflation.

There are three ways to do this: Chinese VC and PE firms could set up shop in SV and do the due diligence and offer term sheets and see what they come up with. So far, I have not seen any Chinese firm which has the people with the kind of capability to pull this off. There is a strong cultural component in dealmaking and most Chinese who have grown up and worked in China don’t have a feel for US dealmaking.

Or, they could partner with SV VCs, set up joint funds which the Chinese would fund, and which the American partners would do the due diligence on.

The third way would be if China Investment Corp. got really smart for a change and decided to buy several of the top-tier Sand Hill venture capital firms, funded them up, put in Chinese general or limited partners and/or board members, and started hearing pitches from entrepreneurs. The current crop of SV startups will start getting really desperate in 6-12 months, and that would be the best time to offer term sheets at favorable terms for the VC firms. (I’m willing to bet that even the leading US social networking sites will be going at low prices because they have not been successful in generating meaningful ad revenue even in fat times.)

To complete the M&A/IPO cycle, the Chinese would have to have partial ownership, preferably with a board seat/s, of one investment bank.

With all the mess on Wall Street, all they have to do is wait until the time is right.

Everything comes to he who waits (and has cash when nobody else does).

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Is It Possible For A Western-Managed Business To Succeed In China?

China’s increasingly important global role means that more and more businesses are coming to China. While there has been a significant presence among multinationals for nearly 30 years, now companies are coming in at earlier stages. Now some startups are even choosing to start in China instead of Silicon Valley.

This trend has been encouraged by venture capitalists, who now give a premium valuation to companies based in China.

This raises a very interesting question: “Is it possible for a western-managed business to succeed in China?”

First of all, a few qualifications. While there are many western multinationals in China, most of them have heavily localized their staff and management. The general trend in these companies is to localize staff and management as quickly as possible without sacrificing necessary management skills in the process. So, for the most part, while they are western companies, they are largely Chinese-managed.

Since most of my work is with startups, I’ll drill down in this field. Now the trend is for more American startups to start in China, even though they may not see China as their main market. In the gaming field, for example, China has a huge pool of people with talent and experience in the gaming field. This means that there is a pool of people with talent in programming and art, and understand gaming culture. The areas where the local Chinese population are weak is in product management. Chinese tend to gravitate to managing other people; there is a serious attraction to being able to say that a manager manages x number of people. Product management is more about managing resources, and coaxing cooperation from different stakeholders in the organization. Naturally, this requires more in the area of soft skills. And soft skills are an area where most technical people feel less comfortable with, and generally do not do as well in.

And unlike in the US, product management people in China are generally expected to be much more technical. So there is a difference here.

Hence the shortage of good product management people.

Naturally, this gives an advantage to startups which have experienced product management people. One mainly western-managed startup in Beijing which is strong in this area is ECitySky.

What about other kinds of companies, and what about the market for talent?

It all depends on what you are trying to do, and what audience you are trying to reach.

One tendency in the Internet field is that as the technology tools become more mature, the technology plays second fiddle to product marketing and marketing. Since the Internet has had just as long a history in China as it has in the west, it is getting harder for an experienced technology person to differentiate himself purely on technical skills alone. Increasingly he has to bring soft skills to the table, especially team management skills, to the table to be seriously considered. This means that for most technical people in China, the opportunities are becoming fewer, especially when you consider their significantly higher costs.

On the management and marketing side, it becomes more important to know how to communicate with your main audience in China. If the audience you are trying to reach is mainland Chinese, this means you must be keenly aware of social trends, the different social groups in Chinese society, government policy, what the different groups are thinking about, and the dynamics affecting the different groups.

The only way to get a deep feel and grasp is to know the language on a native level, including speaking reading and writing Mandarin Chinese. Basically, you need to become local. Assistants, translators and PR agencies will only get you so far because they cannot provide the social context to digest and understand the raw data to make good business decisions.

And then, even if you have a native command of Mandarin, that is no guarantee of success. I sum it up this way:

  • If you don’t know Chinese (spoken, reading and written) and have not lived long in China, you don’t even know what are the right questions to ask.
  • If you speak, read and write Mandarin on a native level, but do not socialize with mainland Chinese except on special occasions, you may know what you don’t know. More importantly, the most capable and intelligent mainland Chinese will not join the startup, instead choosing to start their own startup, often competing with the company they just left. (I’m thinking of many American-born Chinese, Taiwan and Hong Kong Chinese-managed companies which claim to be Chinese, but do not include mainland Chinese who have grown up in China in their management ranks. For the most part, they do not trust mainland Chinese and in private meetings, it is not unusual to hear them complain about things in China. In my opinion, they are doomed from the start.)
  • If you have a startup which breathes, by which I mean that management does not have an inner circle dominated by any regional group or background, and freely allows people into senior and executive management based on their creativity, communication skills and ability to execute, then your startup will have the greatest chance of success. This is because a startup depends on moving quickly, and rapidly adapting to changes and competition in the marketplace.

So, in my opinion, when you get past the government regulatory issues, which are slanted to favor Chinese-owned companies in some sectors (especially media, where foreign companies are not allowed), it really is not any harder in China than many other parts of the world.

The biggest barrier for many startups is to get the management right so that it does breathe. Management needs to set the right tone from day one.

The best management hires the best people, empowers them, and let’s them go. At that point, it’s no longer a western- or Chinese-managed company; it’s just well-managed.

Get that right and China’s your oyster.

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