There Is No China Market

One of my biggest complaints about western observers of China is the overly used term “China market”. In fact, there is no China market, just as there is no European market. While there is a European Union, which many Europeans complain about as some kind of bloated legislative bureaucratic monster, it would be silly for any marketer to think that there is anything like a European market on the ground. After all, what are you talking about? Are you talking about the UK, Germany, Belgium, Spain or Italy? Even within these national markets, there are vast social and cultural differences within the same country.

While China is ruled as a single nation from Beijing, the political, regional, social and cultural differences within China are just as big as in Europe. While many western observers see Beijing as authoritarian, the truth is that Beijing has to play a huge juggling act among its own provinces. Every time the center asks for something from the provinces, it has to offer the provinces something in return. In this respect, China is just like the US, Russia and other big countries. There is endless bargaining, trading and swapping of favors, most of which does not occur publicly and is not common knowledge.

These local differences even extend to Internet businesses. The two biggest and most successful companies which dominate in CPC advertising and micropayments are both based in Shenzhen, and are not in Beijing and Shanghai. They are Tencent and Xunlei. Tencent is the leader in charging for micropayment-based subscription services and is the leader with its popular instant messaging client, QQ. Tencent is publicly listed in Hong Kong, and analysts love the company’s business model. Xunlei is a leader in P2P distribution of video, and inserts ads into video content before sending them on their way through its network. Although it is still private, it is already profitable, and Google has invested in the company.

If you go to Beijing, the media landscape is dominated by Sina, Sohu and Netease, China’s leading portals. I think of these companies as being like Web 1.0 national newspapers; they are like the Wall Street Journal and New York Times in China for the Internet generation. Because media content is a politically sensitive area in China, they need to be close to the government, which is why they are in Beijing.

And Shanghai is where most of the gaming companies are. While Beijing is home to serious media and sports, Shanghai is much more entertainment oriented. In the twenties and thirties, Shanghai was the home for China’s film industry; and the talent for entertainment had strong roots in Shanghai. After 1949, many of the producers, directors and actors moved to Hong Kong, but with China’s opening up, many have returned to their old base in Shanghai.

Think about it. Why is it the case that two of the leading micropayments companies in China are based in Shenzhen? I believe that being in Shenzhen forced these two companies to be much more consumer-oriented since fewer VCs ventured there. The paucity of easy access to capital forced them to be creative. In their early days, they were able to get favorable rents, cheaper employees and lower their other costs because of favorable terms from the Shenzhen municipal government. Micropayments really started in desperation as a payment system for poor people who had no credit in a nation without a national credit-ranking system who did not have credit cards. Without money from VCs, these companies were forced to innovate, and had to come up with a solution which got money from consumers.

Getting paid by your users; what a neat idea!

In China, many smart entrepreneurs go to second- and even third-tier cities so that they can get a local municipal government to support them. This is called finding a 靠山 or literally “a mountain to lean on”. After all, every city official wants to be able to say someday: “I helped set up Tencent (or Xunlei, or whatever.)” That would look good on their resume.

I’m always mystified that western-funded companies like to set up in Beijing and Shanghai; why don’t they strike out into other Chinese cities? Most of the time, I think it’s because their management are able to enjoy a level of living which is closer to what they would enjoy in the west. The problem is that because they are more like western cities than most Chinese cities, they give a skewed and sanitized view of what China is really like.

As a result, they unwittingly hand over the advantage to smart local Chinese companies. With the huge number of Internet companies in those two cities of Shanghai and Beijing, it’s almost impossible to find any Chinese government officials who can serve the role of mountains to lean on. And when you can find them, the cost of the mountains are much higher.

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Working the Gray Areas in China

“If I were to wait until the Chinese government said I could do something, I’d never be able to make money.”

This is a line I have heard on many occasions from different Chinese entrepreneurs.

In China, there are many areas which are not strictly illegal, but they’re not legal either. Most of the time, these involve fields which are too new for the government to regulate. Any government is a slow-moving giant; they are not renowned for their quickness and being smart. In this business ecosystem, the advantage lies with the fast-moving entrepreneur who can identify a need and move in quickly.

By the time the government has figured out the industry and begins to regulate it, the major players are already established. This is how the online gaming industry started in China with Shanda, and how Giant Interactive became successful with its pay-for-play online gaming model.

When Americans and Europeans go to China, they go out of their way to make sure that every “i” is dotted and every “t” is crossed in all their legal arrangements with the Chinese government. Each executive is effectively protecting himself from litigation and any bad news from the Chinese government.

This is like going to church and asking the priest if you will get eternal salvation by going to church every Sunday and donating one million dollars every year.

In doing so, they are basically asking for Chinese government regulation. Now, do you think the Chinese government is going to favor a foreign competitor or local Chinese company, even one which pushed the boundaries of government regulation in China?

This is one of the great ironies in China.

It’s a little like being a parent; who do you love more, the loyal son who does everything you say but is not creative and imaginative, or the smart son who sometimes frustrates you by coming home late, but is brimming with all kinds of insights and creative ideas and dates all the smart beautiful girls?

If you asked the Chinese government, or at least watch what they do on the policy level, they like the smart and sometimes naughty son.

Unless he gets too smart for his own good, in which case they smack him down.

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